What to expect from Trump's address to CongressTrump's flurry of executive actions may foreshadow fewer congressional requests. Mar 03 25March 03, 2025Article at FiveThirtyEight
How Trump's push for Canadian statehood would hurt the GOPDemocrats would flip the House and get a boost in presidential and Senate races. Feb 27 25February 27, 2025Article at FiveThirtyEight
Why it matters that Trump is deleting government dataData disruptions could cause big issues in both the public and private sectors. Feb 20 25February 20, 2025Article at FiveThirtyEight
The 2026 Michigan Senate race is already heating upSen. Gary Peters’s retirement makes this key contest even more unpredictable. Feb 06 25February 06, 2025Article at FiveThirtyEight
What to make of Trump's attempt to end birthright citizenshipThe policy faces a tough legal battle, but could have a major impact if enacted. Jan 23 25January 23, 2025Article at FiveThirtyEight
Republicans start 2025 with the smallest House majority since 1931Narrow margins will challenge Speaker Mike Johnson and test Trump's influence. Jan 09 25January 09, 2025Article at FiveThirtyEight
Key elections to watch in 2025Races for governor in Virginia and New Jersey will be in the spotlight. Jan 06 25January 06, 2025Article at FiveThirtyEight
How will Jimmy Carter be remembered?He served only one term as president, but left his stamp on American politics. Dec 30 24December 30, 2024Article at FiveThirtyEight
How will history remember Biden's presidency?Trump's 2024 reelection could define Biden's legacy. Dec 23 24December 23, 2024Article at FiveThirtyEight
Why most of Trump's Cabinet picks will get confirmed by the SenateNominees face more opposition nowadays, but rarely from the president's party. Dec 19 24December 19, 2024Article at FiveThirtyEight
How To Tell Who's On Track To Win On Election Night - Nevada538's benchmarks estimate how well candidates need to do in each county. Nov 04 24November 04, 2024Article at FiveThirtyEight
The Second GOP Debate Could Be Smaller, With Or Without TrumpThe second Republican presidential primary debate is less than two weeks away, so time is running out for GOP contenders to meet the Republican National Committ… Sep 14 23September 14, 2023Article at FiveThirtyEight
Everything You Need To Know About Tuesday’s Special Elections In Rhode Island And UtahUsually, Labor Day is considered the traditional start of campaign season — but here in 2023, it marks the end of the competitive phase of two heated special el… Sep 05 23September 05, 2023Article at FiveThirtyEight
Vivek Ramaswamy Is Climbing. Where Can He Go?At last week’s Republican debate, businessman Vivek Ramaswamy arguably made the biggest splash of any candidate. Sharing center stage with Florida Gov. Ron DeSa… Sep 01 23September 01, 2023Article at FiveThirtyEight
At Least 8 Republicans Have Made The First Debate. Could 3 More Join Them?UPDATE (Aug. 22, 2023, 12:10 a.m.): On Monday night, the Republican National Committee confirmed that eight candidates would appear in Wednesday’s debate: Flori… Aug 22 23August 22, 2023Article at FiveThirtyEight
Who’s In, Who’s Out And Who Might Bail On The First Republican Debate?The clock is ticking for Republican presidential hopefuls to lock in a spot on the debate stage. Candidates have until Monday evening — 48 hours before the firs… Aug 18 23August 18, 2023Article at FiveThirtyEight
Trump’s Republican Opponents Are Still Refusing To Attack Him — Even After Four IndictmentsOn Monday, Fulton County District Attorney Fani Willis issued the fourth indictment of former President Donald Trump this year, this time for activities related… Aug 17 23August 17, 2023Article at FiveThirtyEight
How Majority-Minority Districts Fueled Diversity In CongressThe Voting Rights Act of 1965 was supposed to settle the debate over race, redistricting and representation. Instead, it started new ones. Since the act prohibi… Aug 14 23August 14, 2023Article at FiveThirtyEight
Could A Democrat Actually Win Mississippi’s Governorship?It may be the dog days of August, but elections never sleep. Today in Mississippi, voters head to the polls to pick their nominees for state and legislative off… Aug 08 23August 08, 2023Article at FiveThirtyEight
What’s Going On With House Retirements This Cycle?With a presidential election on the docket in 2024, much of the political spotlight right now is shining on the race for the White House. But all over the count… Jul 28 23July 28, 2023Article at FiveThirtyEight
