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TL&DR: We are approaching a new Covid wave, driven by XBB.1.5. Not very good news for flu and RSV either, and Scarlet fever still at exceptionally high levels. So, a rather gloomy update, hence a nice picture above (Sunset over river Tay from Dundee…
February 03, 2023
Article at statisticallyinsignificant.blog
TL&DR Major infectious diseases, RSV, flu, Strep A, and even Norovirus are back to their “normal” seasonal pattern, although numbers remain higher than pre-pandemic. COVID is going down, but I expect another wave to start in a couple of weeks’ time.…
January 27, 2023
Article at statisticallyinsignificant.blog
TL&DR Major infectious diseases, RSV, flu, Strep A, and even Norovirus are back to their “normal” seasonal pattern, although numbers remain higher than pre-pandemic. COVID is going down, but I expect another wave to start in a couple of weeks’ time.…
January 27, 2023
Article at statisticallyinsignificant.blog
TL&DR: My China COVID article is out in The Conversation, and I am quoted on Norovirus in The Times. COVID numbers are down, but expect a new wave starting soon. Post-pandemic, RSV, flu, Strep A, and even Norovirus are back to their “normal” seasonal…
January 27, 2023
Article at statisticallyinsignificant.blog
GLASGOW: After nearly three years of keeping COVID-19 under control, China is experiencing a massive new wave of COVID-19 infections. The official figures reporting 60,000 deaths between Dec 8, 2022 and Jan 12 are widely seen as underestimating the…
January 25, 2023
Article at Channel News Asia
After nearly three years of keeping Covid under control, China is experiencing a massive new wave of Covid infections. The official figures reporting 60,000 deaths between December 8 and January 12 are widely seen as underestimating the impact of the…
January 24, 2023
Article at Asia Times
After nearly three years of keeping COVID under control, China is experiencing a massive new wave of COVID infections. The official figures reporting 60,000 deaths between December 8 and January 12 are widely seen as underestimating the impact of the…
January 23, 2023
Article at The Conversation
After nearly three years of keeping COVID under control, China is experiencing a massive new wave of COVID infections. The official figures reporting 60,000 deaths between December 8 and January 12 are widely seen as underestimating the impact of the…
January 23, 2023
Article at Medical Express
Another week, another update. TL&DR: all indicators are going down. We are not out of the woods yet, I think, but it is all good news for Covid, flu, RSV and even Scarlet fever. COVID-19 Admissions and cases are both going down. As described in a…
January 19, 2023
Article at statisticallyinsignificant.blog
Since the COVID-19 epidemic started just over three years ago, a large number of people have died either directly from the disease or in combination with other factors. The exact number will never be known and will always be a matter of controversy…
January 18, 2023
Article at statisticallyinsignificant.blog
Since the beginning of December, the UK has been experiencing another COVID-19 wave. In my The Conversation article published on 13th December, I predicted: Predictions of a large COVID wave as we head into winter have so far not materialised. The…
January 17, 2023
Article at statisticallyinsignificant.blog
Covid wave has slowed down although it is expected that it will pick up later this winter. RSV has definitely peaked, with flu cases possibly unreported creating some uncertainty about the peak. Scarlet fever cases are very high. The data for major…
January 06, 2023
Article at statisticallyinsignificant.blog
It is a festive season, and UKHSA is not providing updates on Covid numbers in England. Scotland is still publishing daily updates, so a quick look at where we are with Covid. The new wave is already in England and Scotland data, particularly in the…
December 31, 2022
Article at statisticallyinsignificant.blog
It has been another week, and new UK data are out. This is an update on where we are with the main viral infections. TL&DR: Good news: RSV wave turned out to be smaller than anticipated and hopefully is on the decline. Bad news: Flu is on the rise.…
December 24, 2022
Article at statisticallyinsignificant.blog
Two immediate observations. Firstly, China did not fail because it implemented a lockdown. They failed because they did not use the time bought by the lockdown to successfully build up protection – by vaccination, by strengthening the public health…
December 23, 2022
Article at statisticallyinsignificant.blog
The UK is now approaching its third Christmas of the COVID pandemic. And this year feels different. So, how does the COVID outlook for this winter differ from the previous two? In my new article at The Conversation, I am looking at some key factors…
December 13, 2022
Article at statisticallyinsignificant.blog
The UK is now approaching its third Christmas of the COVID pandemic. And this year feels different. There’s little question we’re in a better position compared with 2020 and 2021. In 2020, Christmas plans were significantly curtailed, with a range of…
December 13, 2022
Article at The Conversation
One of the strands of my research is to study the impact of climate change on plant and tree health. But this problem goes much wider. There are a lot of commodities that are heavily at risk due to climate change. Whether an individual, a government…
December 08, 2022
Article at statisticallyinsignificant.blog
TL&DR: Flu and RSV continue to be a threat, with an increasing number of cases and hospitalisation. Covid was still in decline last week, but that has now changed, and some age groups see an increase. Note this is week 47 data released in week 48.…
December 02, 2022
Article at statisticallyinsignificant.blog
As the UKHSA data are out today, here is a quick update. TL&DR: The main respiratory diseases (Covid, flu, RSV) are a bit quiet at the moment. It might be that this trend will continue, but more likely, they will pick up again as more wintery weather…
November 17, 2022
Article at statisticallyinsignificant.blog